Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 511.903551 544.030651 577.387107 614.662920 655.224521 698.099765 746.945722
2026-02-01 471.557583 516.057400 564.111758 620.067210 683.691280 754.088392 838.290766
2026-02-08 445.372309 497.923091 556.334879 626.477682 708.952929 803.509747 921.074794
2026-02-15 422.429683 480.347357 546.228056 627.338598 725.375765 841.160968 989.938264
2026-02-22 403.445367 465.395375 537.262356 627.666383 739.596587 875.306120 1054.917526
2026-03-01 388.737978 454.198693 531.486278 630.617099 756.079188 911.933384 1124.005861
2026-03-08 373.932617 441.810964 523.200974 629.407415 766.494695 940.572630 1183.540905
2026-03-15 361.698538 431.778403 517.017547 630.047593 778.667526 971.371663 1246.996101
2026-03-22 350.253595 422.059746 510.548461 629.638601 788.945180 999.595386 1307.969297
2026-03-29 339.953294 413.235424 504.650681 629.401939 799.020794 1027.543802 1369.667923
2026-04-05 332.036235 407.042518 501.726070 632.711040 813.693626 1062.117364 1442.533057
2026-04-12 323.364314 399.464195 496.570755 632.593827 823.344489 1089.754571 1506.461939
2026-04-19 317.313120 395.079247 495.417947 637.791511 840.551223 1128.930909 1590.264874
2026-04-26 311.929464 391.324593 494.867831 643.640431 858.736789 1170.204909 1679.787108
2026-05-03 307.242457 388.279299 495.068863 650.396416 878.333102 1214.329789 1776.565495
2026-05-10 300.771382 382.564388 491.346202 651.303261 889.176131 1245.500474 1854.114050
2026-05-17 294.492834 376.879997 487.414302 651.648055 899.024011 1275.397270 1931.288162
2026-05-24 289.498778 372.777283 485.496358 654.750477 913.031900 1312.326826 2022.788956
2026-05-31 283.344531 366.857372 480.785561 653.478578 920.121225 1338.365110 2096.865362
2026-06-07 278.129963 362.081322 477.512028 654.151677 930.145055 1369.493148 2182.018222
2026-06-14 272.831803 357.021316 473.643219 653.721652 938.294396 1397.770428 2263.804851
2026-06-21 267.842219 352.248503 470.017615 653.472821 946.619388 1426.607537 2348.560024
2026-06-28 264.187760 349.269104 468.884224 656.952213 961.032976 1466.423265 2457.150428